Multidimensional scaling analysis of the dynamics of a country economy

This paper analyzes the Portuguese short-run business cycles over the last 150 years and presents the multidimensional scaling (MDS) for visualizing the results. The analytical and numerical assessment of this long-run perspective reveals periods with close connections between the macroeconomic variables related to government accounts equilibrium, balance of payments equilibrium, and economic growth. The MDS method is adopted for a quantitative statistical analysis. In this way, similarity clusters of several historical periods emerge in the MDS maps, namely, in identifying similarities and dissimilarities that identify periods of prosperity and crises, growth, and stagnation. Such features are major aspects of collective national achievement, to which can be associated the impact of international problems such as the World Wars, the Great Depression, or the current global financial crisis, as well as national events in the context of broad political blueprints for the Portuguese society in the rising globalization process.

Uncertainty analysis based on sensitivity applied to angle-ply composite structures

This article describes a finite element-based formulation for the statistical analysis of the response of stochastic structural composite systems whose material properties are described by random fields. A first-order technique is used to obtain the second-order statistics for the structural response considering means and variances of the displacement and stress fields of plate or shell composite structures. Propagation of uncertainties depends on sensitivities taken as measurement of variation effects. The adjoint variable method is used to obtain the sensitivity matrix. This method is appropriated for composite structures due to the large number of random input parameters. Dominant effects on the stochastic characteristics are studied analyzing the influence of different random parameters. In particular, a study of the anisotropy influence on uncertainties propagation of angle-ply composites is carried out based on the proposed approach.

Forest soil short term response to prescribed fire: an approach by Principal Components Analysis

In the current context of serious climate changes, where the increase of the frequency of some extreme events occurrence can enhance the rate of periods prone to high intensity forest fires, the National Forest Authority often implements, in several Portuguese forest areas, a regular set of measures in order to control the amount of fuel mass availability (PNDFCI, 2008). In the present work we’ll present a preliminary analysis concerning the assessment of the consequences given by the implementation of prescribed fire measures to control the amount of fuel mass in soil recovery, in particular in terms of its water retention capacity, its organic matter content, pH and content of iron. This work is included in a larger study (Meira-Castro, 2009(a); Meira-Castro, 2009(b)). According to the established praxis on the data collection, embodied in multidimensional matrices of n columns (variables in analysis) by p lines (sampled areas at different depths), and also considering the quantitative data nature present in this study, we’ve chosen a methodological approach that considers the multivariate statistical analysis, in particular, the Principal Component Analysis (PCA ) (Góis, 2004). The experiments were carried out in a soil cover over a natural site of Andaluzitic schist, in Gramelas, Caminha, NW Portugal, who was able to maintain itself intact from prescribed burnings from four years and was submit to prescribed fire in March 2008. The soils samples were collected from five different plots at six different time periods. The methodological option that was adopted have allowed us to identify the most relevant relational structures inside the n variables, the p samples and in two sets at the same time (Garcia-Pereira, 1990). Consequently, and in addition to the traditional outputs produced from the PCA, we have analyzed the influence of both sampling depths and geomorphological environments in the behavior of all variables involved.

Impact of the Meteorology Conditions on the Particulate Matter Dispersion from an Industrial Complex into Urban and Suburban Areas

The aim of this work was to assess the influence of meteorological conditions on the dispersion of particulate matter from an industrial zone into urban and suburban areas. The particulate matter concentration was related to the most important meteorological variables such as wind direction, velocity and frequency. A coal-fired power plant was considered to be the main emission source with two stacks of 225 m height. A middle point between the two stacks was taken as the centre of two concentric circles with 6 and 20 km radius delimiting the sampling area. About 40 sampling collectors were placed within this area. Meteorological data was obtained from a portable meteorological station placed at approximately 1.7 km to SE from the stacks. Additional data was obtained from the electrical company that runs the coal power plant. These data covers the years from 2006 to the present. A detailed statistical analysis was performed to identify the most frequent meteorological conditions concerning mainly wind speed and direction. This analysis revealed that the most frequent wind blows from Northwest and North and the strongest winds blow from Northwest. Particulate matter deposition was obtained in two sampling campaigns carried out in summer and in spring. For the first campaign the monthly average flux deposition was 1.90 g/m2 and for the second campaign this value was 0.79 g/m2. Wind dispersion occurred predominantly from North to South, away from the nearest residential area, located at about 6 km to Northwest from the stacks. Nevertheless, the higher deposition fluxes occurred in the NW/N and NE/E quadrants. This study was conducted considering only the contribution of particulate matter from coal combustion, however, others sources may be present as well, such as road traffic. Additional chemical analyses and microanalysis are needed to identify the source linkage to flux deposition levels.

Efeitos especiais mediados por Kinect em contexto de espetáculo de dança ao vivo

A dança e os espetáculos foram atividades desenvolvidas e praticadas pelo homem desde praticamente a sua existência. Ao longo de todo esse período de tempo e até aos dias atuais estas atividades foram sofrendo evoluções que as fizeram manterem-se relevantes e de grande importância na sociedade humana e na sua cultura. A evolução não se fez sentir apenas no estilo das danças e espetáculos mas também nos acessórios e efeitos que estas implementam de forma a torna-las mais atrativas para quem as vê. Apesar desta evolução, a maioria dos efeitos não permite um nível de interação com a dança ou espetáculo, fazendo com que exista uma clara separação entre a componente pura da dança e o cenário do espetáculo no que diz respeito á componente acessória de efeitos. Com o intuito de colmatar esta clara divisão de componentes, iniciamos um estudo no sentido de criar um sistema que permitisse derrubar essa barreira e juntar as duas componentes com o intuito de criar efeitos que interajam com a própria dança tornando o espetáculo mais interativo, e que não seja apenas mais um componente acessório, isto ao mesmo tempo torna todo o espetáculo mais apelativo para o público em geral. Para conseguir criar tal sistema, recorremos às tecnologias de sensores de movimento atuais para que a ponte de ligação entre o artista e os efeitos fosse conseguida. No mercado existem diversas ofertas de sensores de movimentos que serviriam para criar o sistema, mas apenas um poderia ser escolhido, então para tal numa primeira parte foi feito um estudo para determinar qual destes sensores seria o mais adequado para ser utilizado no sistema, tendo em conta uma diversidade de fatores. Após a escolha do sensor foi então desenvolvido o sistema MoveU e tendo no final sido feitos uma série de testes que permitiram validar o protótipo e verificar se os objetivos propostos foram atingidos. Por fim, o MoveU foi demonstrado a uma série de pessoas (dançarinos e espectadores), para que pudessem opinar sobre ele e indicar possíveis melhoramentos. Foram também criados uma série de questionários para que o público a quem foi demonstrado o protótipo, com a finalidade de realizar uma análise estatística para determinar se este sistema seria do agrado das pessoas e também permitir retirar conclusões sobre este trabalho.